What the evidence shows
Long-term cohorts describe MCS as chronic with fluctuation: a nine-year Iowa follow-up of eighteen people found them improved but most still symptomatic; the Japanese five-year population cohort found self-reported intolerance both improving and developing, with regular activity and lifestyle linked to improvement and negative psychosomatic states linked to onset. Nobody has measured what distinguishes people who relapse from people who hold their gains, or what preceded each relapse across a large group.
That is the recovery-phenotype question, and it is a dedicated study rather than a paragraph, because for patients it may matter more than proving what started the illness. The plausible variables — severity at onset, initiating exposure, comorbid MCAS or dysautonomia, ongoing hidden exposure, treatment of an underlying condition — are all untested against each other.